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NCAA Tournament Guide: First Four

Garrett Hart

First Four Games:

#16 SEMO (19-16) vs. #16 Texas A&M-Corpus Christi (23-10) -3.5

  • Tuesday @ 5:40pm CT, Tru TV

  • Dayton, OH

SEMO

  • Automatic qualifier from the Ohio Valley, entered conference tournament as the 5th seed (10-8 in conference)

  • Ranked #257 on KenPom (worst in NCAA Tournament field)

  • Outside the top 200 in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency

  • Ranked #7 in adjusted tempo (plays really really fast)

  • #211 in 3pt %

Texas A&M-CC

  • Automatic qualifier from the Southland, entered conference tournament as the #1 seed (14-4 in conference)

  • Ranked #173 in KenPom

  • Top 60 in both offensive rebounding and 3pt %

  • Ranked #229 in adjusted defensive efficiency

  • #80 in adjusted tempo (relatively fast paced offense)

KenPom Prediction: Texas A&M-CC 81-76



#11 Pitt (22-11) vs. #11 Mississippi State (21-12) -2.5

  • Tuesday @ 8:10pm CT, TruTV

  • Dayton, OH

Pitt

  • 5th seed in ACC Tournament (14-6 in conference)

  • Losers of 3 of their last 4

  • #24 ranked offensive, defensive efficiency outside of top 100

  • #265 in turnovers forced

  • Outside of top 100 in offensive and defensive rebounding

Mississippi State

  • 9th seed in SEC Tournament (8-10 in conference)

  • Ranked #6 in defensive efficiency

  • #334 in adjusted tempo (very very slow)

  • #363 in 3pt % but also #272 in 3pt attempted

  • Ranked #15 in offensive rebounding

KenPom Prediction: Mississippi State 67-65



#16 FDU (19) vs. #16 Texas Southern (14-20) -2

  • Wednesday @ 5:40pm CT, TruTV

  • Dayton, OH

FDU

  • Automatic qualifier from the NEC (finished 2nd in conference tournament due to Merrimack being ineligible for NCAA postseason)

  • Ranked #317 on KenPom

  • #361 in adjusted defensive efficiency (outside of top 300 in nearly every defensive stat)

  • #157 in 3pt %

Texas Southern

  • Automatic qualifier from SWAC (8th seed entering conference tournament)

  • #330 ranked offensive efficiency

  • #360 in 3pt %, #348 in 3pt attempted

  • #196 in adjusted defensive efficiency

  • Ranked #72 in adjusted tempo

KenPom Prediction: Texas Southern 77-75




#11 Nevada (22-10) vs. #11 Arizona State (22-12) -2

  • Wednesday @ 8:10pm CT, TruTV

  • Dayton, OH

Nevada

  • Ranked #43 on KenPom

  • Top 60 in both adjusted offensive and defensive efficiency

  • #332 in offensive rebounding

  • #183 in 3pt %

  • #25 in fewest turnovers committed per game

Arizona State

  • Ranked #68 on KenPom

  • #28 in adjusted defensive efficiency (top 50 in nearly every defensive metric)

  • #313 in defensive rebounding

  • #315 in 3pt %, #274 in 2pt shooting efficiency

KenPom Prediction: Nevada 69-67








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